Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 17.200610 19.537910 22.084408 25.066236 28.464078 32.217741 36.682340
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 14.400693 17.565839 21.272021 25.937698 31.663352 38.472200 47.201710
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 11.945468 15.534639 20.019020 26.046440 33.957937 44.019261 57.835998
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.630835 13.292095 18.151111 25.094146 34.800696 47.949234 67.216409
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 7.830869 11.429939 16.485918 24.140965 35.503081 51.847782 77.332308
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.605651 10.168206 15.451190 23.904763 37.192806 57.444875 90.971352
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.713153 9.250833 14.774573 24.093530 39.570362 64.506489 108.246565
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.924684 8.365082 14.005846 24.012965 41.527515 71.286552 126.466902
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.428172 7.876139 13.801697 24.837595 45.159771 81.518764 152.689091
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.901084 7.246408 13.256673 24.977496 47.627798 90.193116 177.935636
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.344928 6.471396 12.327649 24.253949 48.375302 95.862732 198.680142
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.931287 5.896848 11.678659 23.955189 49.900842 103.330367 224.663112
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.667533 5.585782 11.514588 24.657034 53.724377 116.439451 266.097497
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.462831 5.362117 11.493349 25.667880 58.443623 132.468877 317.948136
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.217154 5.009008 11.142168 25.900100 61.504440 145.514039 366.099394
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.926395 4.505590 10.377724 25.049853 61.892846 152.494767 401.186167
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.676819 4.054533 9.657108 24.173003 62.059916 159.031473 436.920119
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.503719 3.756884 9.248559 23.995820 63.985815 170.478266 488.992323
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.374620 3.546050 9.016741 24.233370 67.076921 185.714484 555.887402
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.247150 3.317338 8.701194 24.190757 69.409783 199.433849 622.077317
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.173714 3.219154 8.710422 25.053605 74.532023 222.307307 722.913916
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.079189 3.046832 8.490417 25.220522 77.650228 239.997425 812.076626
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.963503 2.794799 8.005614 24.509777 77.936064 249.084121 875.010742